Election Fraud Gish Gallop
Obviously there is a ton of accusations flying around of widespread voter fraud. I am not in the position to say that's impossible, but keeping up with every iteration has been, by far, the best manifestation of the Gish Gallop I have ever encountered.
Here's a megathread on Twitter by journalist Isaac Saul, with links and sources, addressing the more prominent accusations.
Examples include the 118 year old "William Bradley" alleged to have voted in Michigan, The 130k suddenly discovered Biden votes, the claim that Wisconsin had more votes than registered voters, the claim that Pittsburgh election staff took the day off in the middle of the count, and so on.
Again, voter fraud is possible, and depending on the specific mechanism, even plausible. But ideally you would be open to stress testing your beliefs. I know that emotions are running high and many of us are rapidly revising our priors and maybe staying up all night participating in the virtual mayhem at play. But at the very least, try to falsify your concern before adopting it wholesale. If your suspicion passes the gauntlet, all the better for you, and I'd genuinely would love to hear about the salient ones you think survive scrutiny.
And to be clear, what I'm describing as a Gish Gallop is the low threshold by which claims are being levied right now and the speed at which vague claims are heralded as conclusive evidence of fraud. If the claims were more measured and salient, I'd be more likely to accept they were proffered on good faith.
For example, by the time you've investigated the claim that Trump observers are categorically denied entry (The campaign lawyer had to admit in court that was 100% false), the hydra has grown several other heads in the meantime. After a while, it's just exhausting, especially since it's not my job to investigate this, I'm just an attorney with an interest in the matter.
One of the viral allegations was a video showing officials in Detroit covering up the windows of a polling center in Michigan. It certainly looks bad, but I'm imagining myself trying to do my job with an unruly crowd chanting and banging on windows and I don't think it's inconceivable that I'd grab some plywood without consideration for how bad the optics would look. That explanation seems plausible to me. Even if it's not the case, I'm not exactly sure what the alternative theory would be. They're boarding up windows so that they can engage in shenanigans but they'll leave the camera crews and ballot observers inside undisturbed?
With regards to allegations of dead voters, the possibility of a dead person casting a vote after they mailed theirs in has always existed. The only thing they can do (if state laws forbid counting voters who subsequently die) is to check the voter rolls against the death rolls and cull them after the fact. I've had to encounter this for work, but there's no singular official source of who is dead. It's a patchwork of county records meshed with state and federal and private records. It doesn't always get nicely updated, nor would it be done in real time. I don't think anyone claims that election commissioners would somehow know in real time everyone who dies, so a check after the fact is the most plausible. Besides, even with covid, what exactly is the chance that the number of people who died after mailing their ballots is big enough to matter?
If you were in charge and tasked with disqualifying dead voters, how would you do it?